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品书网 > 杂志 > How Will AI Transform the Future?

How Will AI Transform the Future?

时间:2024-10-25 04:49:58

AgamerracesacrossavirtualworldinShenzhenwearingapairofVR(virtualreality)glasses.ATthesession“PutAItoWork”oftheBoaoForumforAsia(BFA)AnnualConference2018,whereguestspeakersexcitedlydiscussedthecurrentapplicationsandfutureprospectsofAItechnologyanditsaccompanyingproblems,anovelgadgetonsitedrewpeople’sattention–thescrollingscreenonthesideofthestageshowingthespeaker’swordsandthecorrespondingEnglishorChinesetranslationinrealtime.Asitturnedout,aTencentminiappforsimultaneousinterpretationwasworking.Byscanningthecodefortheminiappwiththeirsmartphones,attendeesofthesessioncouldalsoreadthetranscriptontheirphones.ThisservedasafabulousexampleofAIapplication.ThehighaccuracyoftheAI’stranscriptionwasatestamenttotheapplication’stechnologicalprowessdespiteitsjustpassabletranslation.Nonetheless,italreadyconstitutedathreattoon-sitesimultaneousinterpreters.Attendeesponderedovertheimpendingobsolescenceofthecareersbasedoninterpretationservices.

AttheannualBFAconferencethemed“AnOpenandInnovativeAsiaforaWorldofGreaterProsperity,”innovationnaturallybecameanimportantcomponentoftheconference,witharangeofsessionstouchingonit,including“TheNextWaveofTechnologicalRevolution,”“TheFutureofTransportation,”“TheFutureofProduction,”and“PutAItoWork.”

LooktotheFuture

WiththeincreasingapplicationofnewtechnologiesincludingAI,thefourthindustrialrevolutionseemstohavearrived.Manydiscussionsanddebatesareoccurringaroundpertinentissuesandthedirectionthiswilltaketheworldin,andthisyear’sBoaoForumwasnodifferent.

Inrailtransportfield,CRRCChair-manLiuHualongpredictedthattransportationwouldbeorientedtowardsensuringgreen,efficient,smart,andharmoniousexperiences.

“Technologywillfuelgreenandsmartdevelopmentofthesector.TheFuxinghigh-speedtrainisatypicalrepresentativeofinnovationinChina’srailwaysector.Thetraincanimplementself-managementandmonitoringthroughouttheentirejourneyandmakeremotecontrolpossiblethroughthewholeprocess.Moreover,anunmannedsubwaytrainhasalsobeenputintotrialinShanghai.Progressintechnologyisboundtobringindustrialchanges,”Liuexplained.Headdedthatcomfortoffuturevehicleswouldbegreatlyimproved,andvehicleswouldprovideaccesstoalmosteverythinglikearemoteofficeandshopping.

“Inthefuture,thecarwillnotbejustavehicle,butamobilespace,”saidShenHui,founder,CEOandChairmanofWMMotorTechnology.Heindicatedhiscompanywouldfocusonservicesprovidedinthemobilespace.

TothelingeringsmogwhichoccursinChinafromtimetotime,vehicleemissionsarebigcontributors.IntheviewofChairmanandCEOofBroadGroupZhangYue,toimproveefficiencyofenergyusebyvehicles,effortsshouldbemadetolessentheweightofthevehicle.

YasumiKudo,chairmanofNYKGroup,saidhiscompanydevelopedanewtypeofshipwithanincrediblyenergy-efficientpowersystemtoreducecarbondioxidedischarge.Autopilottechnologyhasalsobeenappliedtothevessel,whichhasalreadybeenputintoproduction.

RudolfStaudigl,presidentandCEOofWackerChemieAG,believesthatby2025itwouldbequitepossiblethatchemicalproductswouldnotrelyonpetroleumastheirmajorrawmaterial,thusminimizingcarbonemissions.

Inthedomesticappliancessector,people’sdemandsforfunctionalproductsinthepasthasupgradedintodemandsforcomfortsandluxuries.ChairpersonofGreeDongMingzhusaid,“Ithinkthemostimportantchangebroughtbybigdatatoconsumersisembodiedinservices.Supportedbybigdata,behindthescenes,technicianscanmaintainoperationofairconditioners.Ifit’sabighardwareproblem,technicianscanalsodiagnoseitwithoutbeingonsiteandthensendworkerstofixit.”

WiththeincreasingapplicationofAI,manyjobswouldbephasedoutormorphintodifferentones.AllanGabor,apermanentmemberofMerck’sPerformanceMaterialsGlobalLeadershipCommittee,thoughtthattodealwiththesituation,companiesshouldjoinhandswiththegovernmenttotraintheiremployeesaccordingly.Inhisview,AIhashelpedimproveproductionefficiency,butalsoshoweditsshortcomings,whichmakesitnecessaryforcompaniestohirewell-educatedpeopletocontrolthesmartmachines,thusstreamliningthewholeproductionprocess.

PuttingAItoWork

WiththearrivaloftheABC(AI,bigdata,andcloudcomputing)era,AIisseeminglyspearheadinginnovationtrends.FindingwaystorealizethemasscommercialuseofAItechnologieshascometotheforefrontofthepublicandcommercialdiscussion.

ChairmanofiFLYTEKLiuQingfengbelievesthatwiththeincreasingapplicationofdeeplearningalgorithms,AIwillplayagrowingroleinassistinghumanbeingstocompletevarioustasksinarangeoffieldsatthepremiseofprotectinguserprivacy.“AIapplicationswillmainlyclusterinvariousindustrialsectorswithpersonaldemandsbeingtakenintoconsiderationaswell.SowecanimagineinthefutureeveryonecanhaveanAIassistanttohelpyoubetterdoyourwork.Maybeinthebeginningitmightonlydo10percentofone’sjob,butyearslateritcoulddealwith50percentofthework,thusgreatlyliberatingpeoplefromlaboriousandrepetitivetasks,”Liusaid.

Infact,AIhasbeenappliedtogradingtestpapersinChina’snationalcollegeentranceexamination,andevenoutperformsmanualgrading.Supportedbybigdata,AIhasalsobeenusedinChina’scourtsystemtoassistjudgesinhandlingcases.Moreover,lastyear,anAIdevicewiththecapacityofageneralmedicalpractitionerpassedChina’snationalqualificationexaminationformedicalpractitioners.SupportedbytheAIapplication,lastAugust,theNationalHealthandFamilyPlanningCommissionandtheAnhuiprovincialgovernmentjointlyfoundedChina’sfirsthospitalwithAIassistingdoctorstoprovidemoreefficientservicestopatients.RoboticassistancehasalsobeenusedintheChinesePLAGeneralHospital.DoctorsinChinesehospitalsareusuallyoverloadedwithpatient’svisits.Soafterapatientarrives,heorshecanfirsttalktoarobottoinformitofthepatient’sbasicinformationandconditions.Whenitcomestohis/herturnforseeingthedoctor,thedoctoralreadyhastheinformation.Duringtheinquiryprocess,therobot’sinterrogativeabilitycanalsobetrainedandthusfurtherimproved.

AIcansurelyplayaroleinhelpingacompany’sdevelopment.Hsiao-WuenHon,corporatevicepresidentofMicrosoft,saidAIcouldhelpacompanyrealizetransformationandupgradinginthreeaspects.Thefirstisaboutproductsandservices.AsHonsaid,yearsagoInternetPluswasinvogue;nowAIPlusisgainingmomentum.Second,HonbelievesthatAIwilldrawacompanyanditsclientscloser.Third,AIcanimproveacompany’soperationalefficiency.“Thuswecanproducecheaperandupgradedproducts,”Honsaid.

ZhuGuang,seniorvicepresidentofBaidu,said,“Baiduhasopenedupalotofdataprocessingcapabilitiesinsuchaspectsasvoice,picture,video,andnaturallanguageprocessing,whichareallopentodevelopers.Nowwehavealegionof500,000developers.Inthenextfiveto10years,everyindustrywilldeeplyintegratewithAI.Therewillbesomeverylargeplatformcompaniesthatprovideallkindsoffirmswithbettertools,computingpower,andalgorithmstohelpthemachieveAI-poweredtransformation.”Accordingtohim,Baiduisworkingwithbankstohelpthemrealizethetransition,buildingupthebanks’financialcapabilities.OnDecember2,driverlesscarslineuptoraceatapreliminarycontestofthe2016ChinaIntelligentVehicleChampionshipheldinJiadingDistrictofShanghai.Atpresent,asentimentthatisinvoguewiththeriseofAItechnologiesisthathumanjobswillbereplacedbyrobots.Forexample,theTencentsimultaneousinterpretationappthreatenstoreplacehumaninterpreters.PresidentofTaiwanSemiconductorManufacturingCo.MarkLiuassuredhisaudienceattheBFAannualconference,“Don’tbeafraidofAI.Withbrainandsoul,we’repeerless.AIisjustpartofourtechnologies.”Hethoughtdifferencesinbothlinguisticsystemsandcultureshadleftabigspacefortheimprovementofmachinetranslation.Liupredictedthatwiththecollectionofbigdata,theaccuracyofmachinetranslationwouldcontinuetoincrease.“Alotoftranslationworkcanbedonebythemachine.Wedon’tneedtospendtimeonthingsthatcanbedonebythemachine.Soyoudon’tneedtofeelthatAIistakingyourjob!TheproblemishowtomakegooduseofAItoassistpeopletobetterandmoreefficientlycompletetheirwork,”Liuremarked.

TrickySocialIssues

Newtechnologiesoftenleadtocollisionandblendingofvariousvaluesandethicsintheirapplications,leavingabigspacefordiscussionabouthowtobetterusethem.

FormerDirectorGeneraloftheWorldHealthOrganizationMargaretChanthoughtthatatechnicalrevolutionshouldprimarilyaddressurgentsocialissuesbyprovidingsolutions.Chanbelievesitisveryimportanttoensurepeopleacrosstheworldcanallbenefitfromthenewtechnicalrevolution.

ZhangDeqiang,Visionox’schiefscientist,endorsedChan’sview,saying,“Theultimategoalofalltechnologiesistosolvethevariousafflictionsplaguingsociety,forexamplediseasesandpoverty,andbetterservehumanbeings.”

FrancisGurry,directorgeneraloftheWorldIntellectualPropertyOrganiza-tion,heldthattheneutralityofscienceandtechnologyneedstobewellmanagedtoachieveapositivesocialimpact.Gurrysaid,ontheonehandnewtechnologieshavebeendevelopedandappliedworldwide,exertingglobalinfluence;ontheotherhand,state-levelmanagementwasmoreeffectivethaninternationalgovernance.Thus,internationaldiscussionsneedtobecarriedoutandeffortsmaderegardingbettermanagementoftechnologies.

IsraelientrepreneurandinvestorYossiVardibelievestheworldneedsinclusivemeasurestoenableparticipationofpeoplefromallwalksoflife.Heindicatedthattodaysomesocialgroupsmighthavebeenmarginalized,unabletoshareresources,butthesituationshouldn’tbeallowedtocontinue.Thereforeinclusivesolutionsareneeded.

InthediscussionsattheBFAannualconferenceontechnology,datasafetywasalsooneofthemajorconcernsforattendees.JohnChen,BlackBerryexecutivechairmanandCEO,saidthemostimportantissueinthebigdataeraistheownershipofdata.“Ifindividualshaveownership,whetherornotgovernmentorcompaniesshouldhavetherighttoaccessthedataisabigissue.Forindividuals,ifacompanyintendstousethedata,itshouldpayhim/herbecausehe/sheistheowner.SoIthinkissueslikethisareactuallyrelatedtoeveryoneofus,”Chenpointedout.

TechnologygiantBaidu,throughtheprovisionofavastarrayofservices,hasproducedahugeamountofdata.“EveryemployeeofBaidushoulderstheimportantresponsibilityofprotectinguserprivacyandensuringdatasafety.Forus,it’sataskwemustcomplete,notjustasupplementarywork,asit’sthepremiseformanyofourotherprojects,”BaiduPresidentZhangYaqinsaid.HerevealedthatBaiduhascraftedaverystrictprocedure,includingencryption,toensureuserdatasafety.C
   

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